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Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk, by Peter L. Bernstein
Kostenfreier Download Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk, by Peter L. Bernstein
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Pressestimmen
AGAINST THE GODS appeared in the "Washington Is Also Reading..." section of The Washington Post Book World. The book is described as, "A comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability, from ancient gamblers in Greece to modern chaos theory."-The Washington Post Book World, September 20, 1998"I must say that I enjoyed the book, it was written in a light-hearted manner".(Money Matters, April 2001) No. 7 bestseller in 'Risk'(erivativesreview.com, December 2001)
Synopsis
A Business Week, New York Times Business, and USA Today Bestseller "Ambitious and readable ...an engaging introduction to the oddsmakers, whom Bernstein regards as true humanists helping to release mankind from the choke holds of superstition and fatalism." -The New York Times "An extraordinarily entertaining and informative book." -The Wall Street Journal "A lively panoramic book ...Against the Gods sets up an ambitious premise and then delivers on it." -Business Week "Deserves to be, and surely will be, widely read." -The Economist "[A] challenging book, one that may change forever the way people think about the world." -Worth "No one else could have written a book of such central importance with so much charm and excitement." -Robert Heilbroner author, The Worldly Philosophers "With his wonderful knowledge of the history and current manifestations of risk, Peter Bernstein brings us Against the Gods. Nothing like it will come out of the financial world this year or ever. I speak carefully: no one should miss it."-John Kenneth Galbraith Professor of Economics Emeritus, Harvard University In this unique exploration of the role of risk in our society, Peter Bernstein argues that the notion of bringing risk under control is one of the central ideas that distinguishes modern times from the distant past. Against the Gods chronicles the remarkable intellectual adventure that liberated humanity from oracles and soothsayers by means of the powerful tools of risk management that are available to us today. "An extremely readable history of risk." -Barron's "Fascinating ...this challenging volume will help you understand the uncertainties that every investor must face." -Money "A singular achievement." -Times Literary Supplement "There's a growing market for savants who can render the recondite intelligibly-witness Stephen Jay Gould (natural history), Oliver Sacks (disease), Richard Dawkins (heredity), James Gleick (physics), Paul Krugman (economics)-and Bernstein would mingle well in their company." -The Australian
Alle Produktbeschreibungen
Produktinformation
Taschenbuch: 400 Seiten
Verlag: Wiley; Auflage: 1. (29. September 1998)
Sprache: Englisch
ISBN-10: 9780471295631
ISBN-13: 978-0471295631
ASIN: 0471295639
Größe und/oder Gewicht:
15,2 x 3 x 22,6 cm
Durchschnittliche Kundenbewertung:
4.0 von 5 Sternen
24 Kundenrezensionen
Amazon Bestseller-Rang:
Nr. 13.594 in Fremdsprachige Bücher (Siehe Top 100 in Fremdsprachige Bücher)
An absorbing work on risk and probability which kept me interested. As a non-math person I found it a fascinating account of the history of those who have shaped our thinking around the risks we are willing to take and why.
Wirklich spannendes Buch für die, die sich für dieses Thema interessieren. Viel Kontext und „Fun Facts“ zu den bekannten Themen, die einem das ganze etwas näher bringen. Zudem gut geschrieben.
My title would be: A History of Probability.Bernstein describes the developement of the perception of risk in the course of history.It is a very good read for everybody who is interested in the history science.
100%. Schnell zuverlässig und Ware entspricht die Beschreibung. Nichts zu beanstanden und daher Bestellen wir in Zukunft hier jeder Zeit wieder.
Vertrauen - Hoffnung - Vermutung: so sah das Risikomanagement ganz am Anfang aus und das ist noch gar nicht so lange her in der Geschichte der Menschheit. Man glaubte an Götter und fragte das Orakel oder Priester um Rat. Verständlich, denn beim Risiko spielen Zahlen eine große Rolle und das Zahlenverständnis entwickelte sich erst spät. Die Zahlensysteme der alten Römer waren extrem unbrauchbar und umständlich, was jeder im Selbstversuch ausprobieren kann: XXVI multipliziert mit IX ist? Erst als die indischen Zahlen via Arabien auch Europa eroberten, inklusive Erfindung der Null, die es im römischen System nicht gab, hatte die Mathematik eine Chance. Bernstein beschreibt in seinem Buch den Weg der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung über die Jahrhunderte hinweg: Gelebte Geschichte. Dieses Buch ist spannender, lebendiger geschrieben, als alles was ich je im Schulunterricht zur Mathematik hörte. Von Luca Pacioli, einem Franziskanermönch, der das "Problem der Punkte" (die Aufteilung des Einsatzes bei vorzeitigem Abbruch des Glückspiels) über die französischen Mathematiker Blaise Pascal und Pierre de Fermat, die sich ca. 1 1/2 Jahrhunderte später mit der Wahrscheinlichkeit beschäftigten. Und vor allem auch Bernoulli, Daniel Bernoulli, der endlich die Instrumente fand, welche die Basis für die heutige Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung sind. Ob die dargelegten Formeln im Buch immer richtig sind - ich habe es nicht nachgeprüft. Für mich war dieses Buch Geschichtsunterricht von einer anderen Art als in der Schule / Studium. Sehr unterhaltsam und spannend beschrieben, gut lesbar und auch für einen Nicht-Englisch-Muttersprachler verständlich. Mein Tip: Kaufen und Lesen!
Bernstein has written a thorough book that traces the linear progression of man's understanding of probability and risk.This is a journey that begins with the importatioin of the arabic numbering system to the West and ends with super-computer crunched chaos theory. In between lie the fathers (all men) of mathamatical understanding. These individuals are the story of AGAINST THE GODS. Bernstein survey's the intellectual contrubutions of each as man strives to understood basic probability, the law of large numbers, bell curves, regression analysis, uncertainty theory and everything else you dimly remember from college statistics classes. He spends the latter quarter of the book on risk and probability theory in the financial world, where theorists have developed portfolio analysis, volitility studies, hedging and sidebets and other quantatative market plays.Credit to the author for balancing his story against the very high probability that much of what these thinkers sought may be unattainable. He frequently mentions the humanity that these people try to explain with laws formulated from observations in the natural world. Although rightly impressed with his intellectual frontiersmen, Bernstein has no problem recognizing that the uncertainty that has always eluded explanation is us and that it helps make life worth living and progress possible.This book is interesting for what it is. A story of the development of theories. I would have enjoyed more of a focus on the applications of this intellectual progression that led to the development of insurance and financial markets. Though these elements are mentioned often, they provide the backdrop for Bernsteins survey of theory. I suspect another book awaits someone who will reverse the order and use theory as a backdrop for the mechanisms that have allowed the modern economy to flourish and develop. The story of insurance, speculation, the beginning of capital markets, a monied economy and the like spring from the intellectual movements so well chronicled by Bernstein. However, they are not the focus, which has the habit of making the reading dry and sometimes uninteresting to those not captivated by the actual numeric analyses and proofs which are amply offerred over the course of the book.If you like intellectual history and are looking to tie the building blocks of probability and risk analysis together over the last four centuries than this book may well captivate you. If you are seeking an understanding of how these discoveries were applied to forge the modern economy we now take for granted you will find parts interesting but may well feel that the story is incomplete.
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